Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Not as exciting a weekend as last week with no big upsets but more so a week that brought clarity. There is just one weekend left of college football and more than half the teams ended their regular seasons today and there are 50 FBS teams that won't be playing in the postseason.

Among those teams will be a 10-2, top ten USC team that is still under NCAA sanctions and ineligible for the postseason this year. The Trojans beat UCLA 50-0 tonight to put the nail in the coffin of Rick Neuheisel's coaching career at UCLA while Matt Barkley threw six touchdown passes. Yet, UCLA and Oregon (two teams the Trojans beat) will play for the Pac-12 Championship and when UCLA loses, they will be 6-7 and ineligible for a bowl game, although the school is expected to file for and be rewarded a bowl game waiver.

Some more clarity in the college football landscape as Virginia Tech shut out Virginia 38-0 to claim its rematch against Clemson in the ACC Championship Game. Wisconsin also rolled over Penn State 45-7 to get a rematch with Michigan State in the Big Ten Championship Game. Wisconsin running back Montee Ball ran for four touchdowns.

During the week, Texas beat Texas A&M in what may be the last Lone Star Showdown for many years in dramatic fashion as A&M scored the go-ahead touchdown with a minute to go and Texas went down the field to get into field goal range for Justin Tucker to kick the game winner as time expired.

On Friday, Houston dominated Tulsa in the second half showing it's defense as well while West Virginia hung on beat Pittsburgh 21-20 in maybe the last Backyard Brawl for the foreseeable future.

Speaking of Pitt and West Virginia and the Big East, the five-way tie for first place is now a four-way tie with Pitt being eliminated. West Virginia, Cincinnati, Louisville and Rutgers.

Here's how the Big East can be won:
-West Virginia and Louisville have the best chances.
West Virginia needs Cincinnati to win and then must be ranked highest in the BCS (highly likely).
Cincinnati needs Rutgers and West Virginia to lose.
Rutgers needs wins from Cincinnati and Louisville and needs to be ranked higher than both of them in the BCS (not likely).
Louisville just needs a loss by Cincinnati.

In other news, LSU asserted itself against Arkansas, outscoring the Razorbacks 41-3 after an early 14-0 deficit. Alabama staked its claim for the No. 2 spot in the BCS by dominating Auburn 42-14.
A lot of people have already said that Alabama has locked its spot in the national championship game and I disagree. I'm not saying Alabama won't finish No. 2, but should it? I'm flip flopping because I was anti-rematch to pro-rematch to now back to anti-rematch.
If Oklahoma State loses to Oklahoma, discussion is over. But if the Cowboys win, and win convincingly, should they be No. 2? Are they the 2nd best team in the country? No. It's clearly LSU and Alabama, but the computers love Oklahoma State and already have them at No. 2 and will keep them there, so it's up to the human voters to move Oklahoma State up and it's going to take style points, a lot of style points against Oklahoma for that to happen.

Here's a review of my week 13 picks. I came close to nailing some scores and completely whiffed on others: http://on.fb.me/rtYeOm

My New Top 25 after Week 13
1. LSU (1) 12-0
Beat Arkansas 41-17 - Next: vs. Georgia (SEC Championship Game)
2. Alabama (2) 11-1
Beat Auburn 42-14  
3. Oklahoma State (4) 10-1
Next: vs. Oklahoma (de facto Big 12 Championship Game)
4. Arkansas (3) 10-2
Lost to LSU 41-17
5. Virginia Tech (5) 11-1
Beat Virginia 38-0 - Next: vs. Clemson (ACC Championship Game)
6. Oregon (6) 10-2
Beat Oregon State 49-21 - Next: vs. UCLA (Pac-12 Championship Game)
7. Wisconsin (11) 10-2
Beat Penn State 45-7 - Next: vs. Michigan State (Big Ten Championship Game)
8. USC (14) 10-2
Beat UCLA 50-0 - Season over due to NCAA sanctions
9. Stanford (7) 11-1
Beat Notre Dame 28-14
10. Oklahoma (8) 10-2
Beat Iowa State 26-6 - Next: at Oklahoma State
11. Houston (12) 12-0
Beat Tulsa 48-16 - Next: vs. Southern Miss (C-USA Championship Game)
12. Boise State (9) 10-1
Beat Wyoming 36-14 - Next: vs. New Mexico
13. Michigan State (10) 10-2
Beat Northwestern 31-17 - Next: vs. Wisconsin (Big Ten Championship Game)
14. South Carolina (17) 10-2
Beat Clemson 34-13
15. Michigan (15) 10-2
Beat Ohio State 40-34
16. Georgia (18) 10-2
Beat Georgia Tech 31-17 - Next: vs. LSU (SEC Championship Game)
17. Nebraska (19) 9-3
Beat Iowa 20-7
18. Baylor (21) 8-3
Beat Texas Tech 66-42 - Next: vs. Texas
19. Kansas State (20) 9-2
Next: vs. Iowa State
20. TCU (22) 9-2
Next: vs. UNLV
21. Clemson (13) 9-3
Lost to South Carolina 34-13 - Next: vs. Virginia Tech (ACC Championship Game)
22. Penn State (16) 9-3
Lost to Wisconsin 45-7
23. Texas (NR) 7-4
Beat Texas A&M 27-25 - Next: at Baylor
24. West Virginia (NR) 8-3
Beat Pittsburgh 21-20 - Next: at South Florida
25. BYU (NR) 8-3
Next: at Hawaii
Dropped: Notre Dame (23), Virginia (24), Tulsa (25)
Bubble: Florida State, Southern Miss, Tulsa, Cincinnati, Arkansas State

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