Friday, November 4, 2011

My Rankings after Week 9

It finally happened. That statement can cover so many moments from today, another epic Saturday of college football. And a great game between Arizona and Washington is still going on.

Kansas State finally lost. I’ve been predicting this to happen for about the last three weeks and Oklahoma finally brought Kansas State back to reality with a dominating 58-17 win over the Wildcats. And as I said on ComRadio this week, Kansas State will lose at least three of its next four games (vs. Oklahoma State, Texas A&M and Texas). K-State’s No. 8 ranking in the BCS Standings was just ridiculous. I never had K-State higher than No. 18.

Both Oklahoma schools cruised as Oklahoma State romped Baylor 59-24. Vegas has to be disappointed after setting the over/under at 83 points, the highest ever.

With Oklahoma and Oklahoma State both winning by 35+ points, man, I really can’t wait until Bedlam on Dec. 3. Oklahoma State could still be undefeated by then.

Elsewhere in the Big 12, Texas A&M is out of the race for the Fiesta Bowl as Missouri officially eliminated them with an overtime win today that included yet another second half collapse by A&M.

Michigan State came out flat in a noon game against Nebraska. After three big wins in a row over Ohio State, Michigan and Wisconsin, Michigan State couldn’t get itself motivated to play another big game. I know it’s difficult but I don’t understand why. I’d be so fired up to play another big game. But I’m not the one taking the field and going through the emotional and physical roller coaster. The Nebraska defense really showed up today with a solid gameplan to stop Kirk Cousins.

Clemson came out flat too and that cost them in the long run when they tried to make their second half comeback. Not this time. Clemson’s dream season is over at the hands of Georgia Tech who had over 300 yards rushing. It’s very difficult to blame Clemson for losing this game since the triple-option is impossible to defend when you don’t have extra time to prepare for it. You could tell with a lot of missed assignments that Clemson really wasn’t prepared. But with that said, Clemson’s defense has come back down to earth, they’re good not great. 30+ points allowed in the last three games.

Georgia Tech stays alive in the ACC Coastal Division with a showdown against Virginia Tech looming.

Speaking of points, the Houston Cougars put up a lot on Thursday night – 73 against Rice. Case Keenum broke Graham Harrell’s record of career touchdown passes, and not only that, Keenum ended up throwing NINE touchdown passes on the night to give him 139 for his career.

And speaking of career record, Penn State had a dramatic win over Illinois to give Joe Paterno his 409th career win for most all-time in all Division-I passing Eddie Robinson, formerly of Grambling State, who had 408 career wins at the Division I-AA level.

Not only did Penn State win dramatically in the snow, they got help from Ohio State in dramatic fashion too as Braxton Miller, the true freshman, heaved one into the end zone and for the second straight week Wisconsin lost on a prayer of a throw in the endzone. With Wisconsin’s loss, Penn State takes a two-game lead in the Leaders Division of the Big Ten and can have the division clinched with wins over Nebraska and Ohio State before playing Wisconsin. Of course, that’s a lot to ask for a Penn State team that still has a lot of figuring out to do on offense. Now they get a bye week to regroup before Nebraska and if 2011 has showed anything, it’s shown that bye weeks are bigger than ever.

Texas Tech and Iowa were two teams shocked today. Iowa lost to Minnesota, yes, Minesota. Texas Tech was dominated by Iowa State. After upsetting Oklahoma last week, Texas Tech climbed to No. 20 in the BCS Standings and there’s a reason why I didn’t have Tech ranked and this loss to Iowa State showed why.

Elsewhere in the state of Texas, the Texas Longhorns shut out Kansas 43-0 and outgained Kansas 590-46. But that was Kansas. That’s an average to decent win for Texas. Coming to Austin next is Texas Tech.

Wins don’t come easy, so South Carolina’s 14-3 win over Tennessee today might have been its last of the season against an FBS opponent. I just sense a South Carolina collapse coming up with Arkansas, Florida and Clemson left on the schedule. Luckily for Carolina, there’s a cupcake in Citadel sandwiched between Florida and Clemson.

Kansas State and Clemson are no longer undefeated, leaving us with LSU, Alabama, Oklahoma State, Stanford, Boise State and Houston.

Minnesota, Iowa State and Boston College picked up their first wins in their respective conferences today. And for Boston College, Rolandan Finch is putting his name out there becoming a bigger part of the offense with the injury to Montel Harris and slump of Andre Williams. Finch has 39 carries for 243 yards today in the upset over Maryland.

Here’s my New Top 25 After Week 9
(x) = last week’s ranking
1. LSU (1) – off week; Next: at Alabama
2. Alabama (2) – off week; Next: vs. LSU
3. Oklahoma State (4) – beat Baylor 59-24; Next: vs. Kansas State
4. Stanford (3) – beat USC 56-48 (3OT); Next: at Oregon State
5. Boise State (6) – off week; Next: at UNLV
6. Oklahoma (9) – beat Kansas State 58-17; Next: vs. Texas A&M
7. Oregon (7) – beat Washington State 43-28; Next: at Washington
8. Arkansas (8) – beat Vanderbilt 31-28; Next: vs. South Carolina
9. Nebraska (12) – beat Michigan State 24-3; Next: vs. Northwestern
10. Clemson (5) – lost to Georgia Tech; Next: vs. Wake Forest (Nov. 12)
11. Virginia Tech (13) – beat Duke 14-10; Next: at Georgia Tech (Nov. 10)
12. South Carolina (14) – beat Tennessee 14-3; Next: at Arkansas
13. Arizona State (16) – beat Colorado 48-14; Next: at UCLA
14. Wisconsin (11) – lost to Ohio State; Next: vs. Purdue
15. Penn State (18) – beat Illinois 10-7; Next: vs. Nebraska (Nov. 12)
16. Michigan State (10) – lost to Nebraska; Next: vs. Minnesota
17. Michigan (20) – beat Purdue 36-14; Next: at Iowa
18. Houston (24) – beat Rice 73-34; Next: at UAB
19. USC (19) - lost to Stanford in triple-overtime; Next: at Colorado
20. West Virginia (22) – beat Rutgers 41-31; Next: vs. Louisville
21. Georgia (21) – beat Florida 24-20; Next: vs. New Mexico State
22. Texas A&M (15) – lost to Missouri in overtime; Next: at Oklahoma
23. Texas (23) – beat Kansas 43-0; Next: vs. Texas Tech
24. Southern Miss (NR) - beat UTEP 31-13; Next: at East Carolina
25. Cincinnati (25) - off week; Next: at Pittsburgh
Dropped: Kansas State
Bubble: Ohio State, Georgia Tech, Kansas State, Auburn, Florida State, TCU


BCS Update
If Stanford would’ve lost, it would have been a great day for Boise State to have Clemson and Stanford be knocked off. Regardless, Boise State would likely be left out of the national championship game but Stanford still has a shot. I’m still 95% set on Oklahoma beating Oklahoma State in Bedlam but I also think Stanford loses to Oregon still, which would leave the winner of LSU/Alabama and Boise State as the only teams left atop of the BCS. In that case, I seriously think we’ll have an LSU-Alabama rematch (if the game is close) before we ever see Boise State in the national championship game. If Stanford goes undefeated, you’ve got to believe they’d be in the national championship game with the LSU-Alabama loser ranked at No. 3 by a slim margin.


NO. 1 LSU AT NO. 2 ALABAMA SATURDAY, NOV. 5, 8PM ON CBS

College Football's Most Difficult Remaining Schedules
Arkansas: vs. South Carolina, vs. Tennessee, vs. Mississippi State, at LSU
Baylor: vs. Missouri, at Kansas, vs. Oklahoma, vs. Texas Tech, vs. Texas
Boston College: vs. Florida State, vs. NC State, at Notre Dame, at Miami
Central Florida: vs. Tulsa, at Southern Miss, at East Carolina, vs. UTEP
Cincinnati: at Pittsburgh, vs. West Virginia, at Rutgers, at Syracuse, vs. UConn
Colorado State: vs. San Diego State, at TCU, vs. Air Force, vs. Wyoming
Florida: vs. Vanderbilt, at South Carolina, vs. Furman, vs. Florida State
Iowa: vs. Michigan, vs. Michigan State, at Purdue, at Nebraska
Kansas State: at Oklahoma State, vs. Texas A&M, at Texas, vs. Iowa State
Michigan: at Iowa, at Illinois, vs. Nebraska, vs. Ohio State
Missouri: at Baylor, vs. Texas, vs. Texas Tech, vs. Kansas
Nebraska: vs. Northwestern, at Penn State, at Michigan, vs. Iowa
New Mexico: at San Diego State, vs. UNLV, at Wyoming, at Boise State
Oklahoma: vs. Texas A&M, at Baylor, vs. Iowa State, at Oklahoma State
Oregon: at Washington, at Stanford, vs. USC, vs. Oregon State
Penn State: vs. Nebraska, at Ohio State, at Wisconsin
 South Carolina: at Arkansas, vs. Florida, vs. The Citadel, vs. Clemson
South Florida: at Rutgers, at Syracuse, vs. Miami, vs. Louisville, vs. West Virginia
Syracuse: at UConn, vs. South Florida, vs. Cincinnati, at Pittsburgh
Texas: vs. Texas Tech, at Missouri, vs. Kansas State, at Texas A&M, at Baylor
Texas Tech: at Texas, vs. Oklahoma State, at Missouri, at Baylor
Tulane: at SMU, vs. Houston, at Rice, at Hawaii
UNLV: vs. Boise State, at New Mexico, at Air Force, vs. San Diego State, at TCU
UTEP: at Rice, vs. East Carolina, vs. Tulsa, at Central Florida
Wyoming: vs. TCU, at Air Force, vs. New Mexico, at Boise State, at Colorado State

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